XRP’s long-term decline has brought its price down more than 60% from its 2025 peak and within viewable range. As an extended correction phase. As expected, this results in Questions among virtual currency investors As for whether XRP could continue to rise this year and reach new all-time highs, possibly surpassing $4.
One analyst is currently painting a scenario that suggests that XRP may soon complete its correction and begin another upward wave that could ultimately push the price to new highs.
XRP may be nearing the end of a long correction phase
The general discussion surrounding XRP’s decline over the past few months has largely focused on the cryptocurrency capping out at an all-time high of $3.65 in the summer of 2025. According to one analyst posting on X, that view may be fundamentally wrong.
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Based on this analysisthe XRP shockwave was completed all the way back to January 2025, when XRP peaked above $3.30. This was several months before the all-time high. The subwave that originated from July 2024 fits best as a shock structure that ended in January 2025, and subsequent price movements, including ATH, formed a correction pattern.
The last major correction period on the weekly chart lasted 61 weeks from top to bottom, erasing approximately 85% of XRP’s value before the next meaningful recovery began. Applying the same time frame to the January 2025 high would bring the current correction closer to completion around mid-March 2026.
XRP price chart. Source: @protechtor On X
As shown in the chart above, XRP’s initial correction since 2021 developed within a descending channel and lasted 61 bars, or 427 days, before finding a low. The price decline rate at this stage reached approximately 85.34%.
The current structure on the right side of the chart is similar to the previous breakdown in both shape and duration. This time, the historical decline rate has reached approximately 71.52%, highlighting the same 61-week period as an important timing indicator. Downtrend line breaks through the current price structure and converges to $1.05. Analysts say that level could serve as an ultimate downside target for XRP, if any. We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Can XRP reach $4 in 2026?
To move to $4 in 2026, XRP will need to do more than just bounce off support, but this scenario is not unrealistic. The current fix is It’s nearing the end. A rise from $1.05, the low level suggested by analysts, to $4 would be an increase of about 281%. XRP from the price range shown on the chart, around $1.38 still have to climb Recover 200% and exceed the current amended structure cap.
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Strong push continues after monthly bottom price is confirmed Above the horizontal resistance area Perhaps $1.80 will be the first signal. From there, the upper trendline of the current structure and previous highs around the $3.4 to $3.6 range become the next price targets. this is $4 discussion here It becomes more realistic.
Featured image created by Dall.E, chart on Tradingview.com
