The cryptocurrency community has long referred to October as “Uptober,” a nickname given to Bitcoin by its consistent history of strong monthly performance. This trend has been so reliable that the month has become synonymous with price spikes.
Bitcoin October always ends in the black For the past seven years, we’ve achieved a streak unlike any other month in history. But October 2025 looks like that reputation will be reversed. As the end of the month approaches, Bitcoin is about 4% below its monthly opening price. October may finally end in red territory First time since 2018.
Bitcoin could end trading in the red in October
Bitcoin price started October at $114,079, with overwhelmingly bullish sentiment at the beginning of the month, carrying over September’s monthly closing price of +5%. Following this bullish sentiment, major cryptocurrencies Over $126,000 The move strengthened hopes that Uptober would once again live up to its name.
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However, the bullish momentum quickly faded, and Bitcoin quickly fell below $120,000. Bitcoin by the middle of this month Witnessed a flash crash As a result, the price quickly fell to $101,000. As things stand, Bitcoin is currently stable near $110,000 by late October and can only record monthly closes above this level.
The last time Bitcoin closed October in the red was in 2018, when it closed at $6,303, about 4% lower than when it opened in October at $6,958. That year was in the midst of a prolonged bear cycle, with the cryptocurrency market struggling to recover from the massive rally of 2017. Bitcoin prices have already suffered consecutive months of decline, with October’s drop followed by an even more brutal 36.4% crash in November, marking the cryptocurrency’s largest monthly loss in history.
Will this November be different?
The question now is whether Bitcoin will repeat this downtrend in November 2025. If history repeats itself, as it always does in the crypto market, we could see a negative closing price in October and another correction in November. However, the answer may not be so simple.
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Unlike 2018, Bitcoin’s current market structure is supported by several bullish fundamentals. Institutional Investor Interest Through Spot Bitcoin ETFexchange leaks, and on-chain data may be stolen by long-term holders. Not actively sold. Even though the price has stabilized around $110,000, volatility is lower than at previous market highs; Another pre-breakout cooling phase.
Even if the moon ends in red, overall Bitcoin’s bullish trajectory is alive and well. Bitcoin continues to maintain its dominance and attract capital inflows. The only surefire way for Bitcoin to end November 2025 in the red is if the Spot Bitcoin ETF performs very poorly throughout the month.
At the time of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $109,700.
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
