The latest warnings from Moody’s analysis include global markets and Crypto Market: The likelihood of a US recession the following year rose to 48%. Historically, every time this metric rose in the mid-40s, there was a recession. This context is important for crypto investors, especially those who hold XRP, as economic stress often emits liquidity and reduces appetite for speculative assets. The key question is whether such a macroeconomic headwind can be pushed Prices from catastrophic levels to zero from XRP.
XRP Price Prediction: Why does the risk of a recession become a problem with XRP prices?
Mark Zandi’s analysis highlights structural pressures with an emphasis on the US economy. Weak’s employment growth, vulnerable manufacturing, and reduced headwinds and immigration such as tariffs. These conditions create a risk-off environment in which investors retreat from unstable markets. Cryptocurrency was one of the first assets sold during the economic contraction.
If the recession is materialized, institutional and retail could flow into the crypto. For XRP prices, which are already facing regulatory uncertainty and fierce competition from other blockchain projects, the recession escalates pressure. But does that mean automatically a path to zero? It’s unlikely. The usefulness of XRP payments and its deep liquidity base means that while the downside risks are real, a complete collapse is not the basic case.
Technical Analysis of XRP Daily Charts
See daily charts for XRP prices:
- Current price: Approximately USD 3.04 and USD 3.05, slightly below resistance.
- Bollinger Band: Price tested an upper band near 3.13, pulled back and notified short-term overexpansion. The 2.91 middle band acts as a support pivot.
- Trend Context: After a powerful July rally that exceeded 3.50, the coin was consolidated sideways until August and September. The recent rise shows momentum has returned, but sellers continue to operate in resistance.
- Support Zone: Key support is located near 2.70 (lower bollinger band) and 2.90 (middle band). A break below these levels could open a downside to 2.40.
- Resistance zone: The initial resistance is 3.20, and the caps are 3.40 and 3.60. A sustained breakout of over 3.60 will bring back bull cases.
The technical setup suggests integration rather than collapse. XRP has enough support to avoid free falls, as long as the macro state does not cause panic sales.
XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP actually move to 0?
From both a macro and a chart perspective, the idea of XRP becoming zero appears more terrifying than reality. To completely collapse XRP prices, you need a Black Swan, whether it’s losing all regulatory cases, a globally listed exchange, or a disappearance of blockchain utilities. Even in a severe recession, XRP liquidity and established adoption make such a scenario remote.
That said, a US recession can cause significant volatility. If the recession is afraid of spikes, XRP can revisit the sub 2.50 level. Especially when Bitcoin leads the broader crypto selling. Traders should wear higher volatility with a whip of 2.70-3.40 in the short term.
The balance of force suggests that XRP will not crash to zero, but risks are leaning towards the downside as the probability of a US recession continues to rise. Recent period:
- If your XRP has support above 2.90, it could potentially rebound to 3.20-3.40.
- A break below 2.70 can check bear control and bring the price closer to 2.40.
- Zero will remain off the table unless unprecedented regulations or whole-body collapse occurs.
In short, $XRP risks deeper corrections, but a complete collapse is not working. Investors should monitor both US economic data and technical support zones to assess whether current integrations will be higher or lower.
